Forecast Impact and Quality Assessment Section

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Forecast Impact and Quality Assessment Section Publications

Missy Petty, Chief
Brian Etherton, Deputy Chief

Jump to a section: [Ceiling and Visibility | Convection | Icing | Precipitation | Turbulence | Verification Technologies | Other]

Ceiling and Visibility [back to top]

Loughe, A.F., B.P. Pettegrew, J.K. Henderson, J.E. Hart, S. Madine, and J. Mahoney, 2011: A performance assessment of the National Ceiling and Visibility Analysis Product. 15th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 1-4 August, Los Angeles, CA, Amer. Met. Soc.

Loughe, A.F., B.P. Pettegrew, J.K. Henderson, J.E. Hart, S. Madine, and J.L. Mahoney, 2010: Quality Assessment Report: National Ceiling and Visibility Analysis Product (D4). Submitted to FAA Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Loughe, A.F., S. Madine, J. Mahoney, and M. Graf, 2008: A Lead-Time Metric For Assessing Skill In Forecasting the Onset of IFR Events. Preprints, 13th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 21-24 January, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Met. Soc.

Braid, J.T., A. Holmes, M.J. Pocernich, L.D. Holland, P.A. Kucera, B.G. Brown, and J.L. Mahoney, 2007: Quality Assessment Report: National Ceiling and Visibility Analysis Product (D4). Submitted to FAA Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Fowler, T.L., A. Holmes, M.j. Pocernich, J.T. Braid, B.G. Brown, and J.L. Mahoney, 2005: Quality Assessment Report: National Ceiling and Visibility Analysis Product (D3). Submitted to FAA Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Brown , B.G., J.L. Mahoney, T.L. Fowler, and J. Henderson, 2001: Approaches for Verification of Ceiling and Visibility Diagnoses and Forecasts. Submitted to FAA Aviation Weather Research Program (available from B. Brown, Research Applications Laboratory, NCAR, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307-3000).

Convection [back to top]

Etherton, B.J., Wandishin, M.S., Paulik, L.A., Layne, G.J., Petty, M.A., 2014: Assessment of the Multi-Radar/Multi-Sensor System (MRMS) and the Corridor Integrated Weather System (CIWS), submitted to the NWS NextGen Program.

Wandishin, M.S., Layne, G.J., Etherton, B.J., Petty, M.A., Mahoney, J.L., 2013: Lead Time and Displacement Error for Thunderstorm Forecasts in Terminal and Jetway Domains, submitted to the NWS Aviation Services Branch.

Layne, G.J., A.F. Loughe, M.S. Wandishin, M.A. Petty, and J.L., Mahoney, 2013: Verification for Terminal Forecasts and Traffic Flow Management Decisions. Poster: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 6-10 January, Austin, TX.

Lack, S.A., A.F. Loughe, M.P. Kay, M.A. Petty, and J.L. Mahoney: 2012. The NDFD Thunderstorm Probability Field: An Assessment of Forecast Lead Time and Spatial Displacement. Submitted to the NWS Aviation Services Branch.

Layne G., M.S. Wandishin, M.P. Kay, S.A. Lack, M.A. Petty, J.L. Mahoney, 2012: Relating a Convective Translation Metric to Convective Impact. Preprint: Third Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration. New Orleans, LA

Lack, S.A., M. P. Kay, G. J. Layne, M. A. Petty, and J. L. Mahoney, 2012: 2011 Quality assessment of CoSPA. Submitted to the FAA Aviation Weather Research Program. Tech Memo #38 OAR/GSD. 42pp.

Lack, S.A. and N.I. Fox, 2012:  Development Of An Automated Approach For Identifying Convective Storm Type Using Reflectivity-Derived And Near-Storm Environment Data. Atmospheric Research, in press, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2012.02.009

Lack, S.A., M.S. Wandishin, and J.L. Mahoney, 2011: An object-based approach for identifying and evaluating convective initiation. 15th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meterology (ARAM), Los Angeles, CA, USA.

Lack, S.A., G.J. Layne, M.P. Kay, S. Madine, M.A. Petty, and J.L. Mahoney, 2011: Quality assessment techniques for evaluating convective weather products used for air traffic management strategic planning. 15th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meterology (ARAM), Los Angeles, CA, USA.

Lack, S.A., M.S. Wandishin, M.A. Petty, and J.L. Mahoney, 2011: AutoNowcaster Pilot Evaluation Study. Submitted to the National Weather Service Aviation Services Branch. 27 pp.

Lack, S.A., G.J. Layne, M.P. Kay, S. Madine, and J.L. Mahoney, 2010: Evaluating supplemental relationships between convective forecast products for aviation. 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meterology (ARAM), Atlanta, GA

Layne, G.J. and S.A. Lack, 2010: Methods for estimating air traffic capacity reductions due to convective weather for verification. 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meterology (ARAM), Atlanta, GA

Lack, S.A., G.L. Limpert, and N.I. Fox, 2010: An object-oriented multi-scale verification scheme. Wea. Forecasting, 25, 79-92.

Lack, S., G.J. Layne, M.P. Kay, S. Madine, and J.L. Mahoney, 2009: An Operational Perspective for Evaluating Convective Nowcasts for Aviation. World Meteorological Organization Symposium on Nowcasting and Very Short Term Forecasting, 31 August - 4 September, Whistler, BC, Canada.

Fox, N.I. and S.A. Lack, 2008: Applying a Procrustes shape analysis verification scheme to nowcast ensemble forecasts to determine the accuracy of diagnosed convective mode. 19th Conference on Probability and Statistics, 21-24 January, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Met. Soc.

Kay, M.P., S. Madine, J.L. Mahoney, and J.E. Hart, 2007: 2007 Convective Forecast Scientific Evaluation. Prepared for the FAA System Operations Group.

Kay, M.P., S. Madine, and J.L. Mahoney, 2006: Quality Assessment Report - National Convective Hazard Detection Product. Submitted to FAA Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Seseske, S.A., M.P. Kay, S. Madine, J.E. Hart, J.L. Mahoney, and B. Brown, 2006: Quality Assessment Report: National Convective Weather Forecast 2 (NCWF-2). Submitted to FAA Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Kay, M.P., J.L. Mahoney, and J.E. Hart, 2006: An analysis of CCFP forecast performance for the 2005 Convective Season. Preprints, 12th Conference on Aviation and Range Meteorology, Atlanta, GA, Amer. Met. Soc.

Seseske, S.A. and J.E. Hart, 2006: Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP) Issuance Analysis. Preprints, 12th Conference on Aviation and Range Meteorology, Atlanta, GA, Amer. Met. Soc.

Kay, M.P., 2004: The design and evaluation of a measure of forecast consistency for the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product. Preprints, 11th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, 4-8 October, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Met. Soc.

Mahoney, J. L., S. Seseske, J.E. Hart, and M. Kay, 2004: Defining observation fields for verification of spatial forecasts of convection: Part 2. Preprints, 11th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace, 4-8 October, Hyannis, Massachusetts, Amer. Met. Soc.

Mahoney, J.L., P. Kucera, J.E. Hart, and B.G. Brown, 2004: Quality Assessment Report: National Convective Weather Forecast (NCWF-2). Submitted to Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Mahoney, J.L., J.E. Hart, and B.G. Brown, 2004: Defining observation fields for verification of spatial forecasts of convection. Preprints, 17th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, 11-15 January, Seattle, Washington, Amer. Met. Soc.

Mahoney, J., 2003: Verification of the CCFP. Presentation made to CDM Weather Applications Working Group Meeting.

Brown, B.G., J.L. Mahoney, C.A. Davis, R. Bullock, and C. Mueller, 2002: Improved approaches for measuring the quality of convective weather forecasts. Preprints, 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, 14-18 January, Orlando, FL, 20-25, Amer. Met. Soc.

Mahoney, J.L., B.G. Brown, J.E. Hart, and C. Fischer: 2002: Using verification techniques to evaluate differences among convective forecasts. Preprints, 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, 14-18 January, Orlando, FL, 12-19, Amer. Met. Soc.

Mahoney, J.L., B.G. Brown, J.E. Hart, and J. Henderson, 2002: A Statistical Evaluation of the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP) and the Convective Significant Weather Advisory (C-Sigmet): 2001 and 2002. Submitted to FAA Weather Research Program (available from Jennifer.Mahoney@noaa.gov).

Brown, B.G. and J.L. Mahoney, 2000: Quality Assessment of the National Convective Weather Forecast Product. Submitted to FAA Weather Research Program (available from Jennifer.Mahoney@noaa.gov).

Brown, B.G and J.L. Mahoney, 2000: Quality Assessment for the National Convective Weather Forecast Product. Report, Research Application Program, NCAR, Boulder, CO 80303, 29 pp (available from the Authors).

Mahoney, J.L., B.G. Brown, J. Hart, 2000: Statistical Verification Results for the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product. NOAA Technical Report, OAR 457-FSL 6, Boulder, CO 80303.

Mahoney, J.L., B.G. Brown, C. Mueller, J.E. Hart, 2000: Convective Intercomparison Exercise: Baseline Statistical Results. 9th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 11-15 September, Orlando, FL, Amer. Met. Soc.

Hartsough, C.S., J.L. Mahoney, J.K. Henderson, 1999: Verification of the Aviation Weather Center's Convective SIGMET Outlooks using RTVS. Preprints, 8th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 10-15 January, Dallas, TX, 100-104, Amer. Met. Soc.

Icing [back to top]

Wandishin, M.S., Etherton, B.J., Hart, J.E., Layne, G.J., Petty, M.A., 2013: Assessment of the HiRes Current Icing Product (CIP) and Forecast Icing Product, submitted to the FAA Aviation Weather Research Program Technical Review Panel

Layne, G.J., A.F. Loughe, J.E. Hart, M.S. Wandishin, M.A. Petty, and J.L. Mahoney, 2013: A comparison of RUC-derived and RAP-derived CIP and FIP icing products. Poster: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 6-10 January, Austin, TX.

Loughe, A.F., J.E. Hart, G.J. Layne, M.A. Petty, and J.L. Mahoney, 2011: Icing Algorithm Assessment: RUC-derived and WRR-derived CIP and FIP. Submitted to the FAA Aviation Weather Research Program.

Kay, M.P., C. Lu, S. Madine, J. Luppens Mahoney, and P. Li, 2009: Detecting cloud icing conditions using CloudSat datasets. Preprints, 23rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, 1-5 June, Omaha, NE, Amer. Met. Soc.

Madine, S., S.A. Lack, S.A. Early, M. Chapman, J.K. Henderson, J.E. Hart, and J.L. Mahoney, 2008: Quality Assessment Report: Forecast Icing Product (FIP). Submitted to Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Chapman, M.B., and J.L. Mahoney, 2007: Forecast Icing Product - Icing Probability: Quality Assessment Report. Submitted to Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Mahoney, J.L., T. Fowler, J. Henderson, C. Fischer, S. Seseske, and B.G. Brown, 2004: Forecast Icing Potential for Alaska (FIP-AK): Quality Assessment Report. Submitted to Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Kelsch, M., J.L. Mahoney, T. Fowler, B.G. Brown, J. Henderson, C. Fischer, 2003: Current Icing Potential for Alaska (CIP-AK): Quality Assessment Report. Submitted to Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Brown, B.G., T.L. Fowler, J.L. Mahoney, M. Chapman, R.Bullock, and J. Henderson: 2003: Forecast Icing Potential (FIP): Quality Assessment Report. Submitted to AWTT Technology Review Panel.

Brown, B.G, T.L. Fowler, and J.L. Mahoney, 2001: Verification Results for the Integrated Icing Forecast Algorithm (IIFA). Submitted to AWTT Technology Review Panel (available from B. Brown, Research Applications Program, NCAR, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307-3000).

Brown, B.G., J.L. Mahoney, R. Bullock, T.L. Fowler, J. Henderson, and A. Loughe, 2001. Quality Assessment Report: Integrated Icing Diagnostic Algorithm (IIDA). Submitted to AWTT Technology Review Panel (available from B. Brown, Research Applications Program, NCAR, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307-3000).

Precipitation [back to top]

Micheas A., N.I. Fox, S.A. Lack, and C.K. Wikle, 2007: Cell identification and verification of QPF ensembles using shape analysis techniques. J. of Hydro., 343.

Loughe, A.F., J.K. Henderson, J.L. Mahoney, E.I. Tollerud, 2001: A Verification Approach Suitable for Assessing the Quality of Model-Based Precipitation Forecasts during Extreme Precipitation Events. Preprints, Symposium on Precipitation Extremes: Prediction, Impacts, and Responses, 14-19 January, Albuquerque, NM.

Turbulence [back to top]

Wandishin, M.S., Paulik, L.A., Hart, J.E., Etherton, B.J., Petty, M.A., 2014: Assessment of the Graphical Turbulence Guidance, Version 3 (GTG3), Submitted to the FAA Aviation Weather Research Program Technical Review Panel.

Wandishin, M.S., B.P Pettegrew, M.A. Petty, J.L. Mahoney, 2011: Quality Assessment Report: Graphical Turbulence Guidance Version 2.5. Submitted to the FAA Aviation Weather Research Program.

Kay, M.P., J.K. Henderson, S.A. Krieger, J.L. Mahoney, L.D. Holland, and B.G. Brown, 2006: Quality Assessment Report - Graphical Turbulence Guidance (GTG) Version 2.3. Submitted to FAA Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Kay, M.P., J.K. Henderson, and J.L. Mahoney, 2006: Quality Assessment Report - GTG Version 1.0 Proposed Threshold Changes for Aviation Digital Data Service Displays. Submitted to FAA Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Takacs, A., L. Holland, M. Chapman, B.G. Brown, J.L. Mahoney, and C. Fischer, 2004: Graphical Turbulence Guidance 2 (GTG2): Quality Assessment Report. Submitted to FAA Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Kelsch, M., C. Fischer, J.L. Mahoney, 2003: Forecaster's evaluation of the integrated turbulence forecast algorithm (ITFA), Winter 2003. Preprints, 20th Conference on weather Analysis and Forecasting, 11-15 January, Seattle, WA, Amer. Met. Soc.

Kelsch, M., C. Fischer, M. Kay, J.L. Mahoney, A. Takacs, T. Fowler, B.G. Brown, J. Wolff, 2003: Forecaster Assessment of Upper Level Guidance from the Integrated Turbulence Forecast Algorithm (ITFA): A Summary of Results for the Winter 2003 Study. Quality Assessment Report submitted to the Turbulence Product Development Team. (Available from the author: Kelsch.edu).

Mahoney, J.L., T. Fowler, B.G. Brown, J. Braid, C. Fischer, M. Kay, and J. Wolf, 2002: Forecaster Assessment of Turbulence Algorithms: A Summary of Results for the Winter 2002 Study. Submitted to Aviation Weather Research Program Leadership Team.

Brown , B.G., J.L. Mahoney, R. Bullock, M.B. Chapmen, C. Fischer, T.L. Fowler, J.E. Hart, and J.K. Henderson, 2002: Integrated Turbulence Forecasting Algorithm (ITFA): Quality Assessment Report. Submitted to AWTT Technology Review Panel (available from B. Brown, Research Applications Laboratory, NCAR, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307-3000).

Mahoney, J.L., B.G. Brown, R. Bullock, T.L. Fowler, C. Fischer, J. Henderson , and B. Sigren, 2001: Turbulence Algorithm Intercomparison: Winter 2001 Results. FAA Turbulence Product Development Team Report to FAA Aviation Weather Research Program (available from Jennifer.Mahoney@noaa.gov).

Mahoney , J.L., J. Braid, B. Brown, T. Fowler, and J. Wolff, 2001: A Forecaster Evaluation of Turbulence Algorithms: A Summary of the Winter 2001 Study. FAA Turbulence Product Development Team Report to FAA Aviation Weather Research Program (available from Jennifer.Mahoney@noaa.gov).

Brown, B.G., J.L. Mahoney, R. Sharman, J. Vogt, and J. Henderson, 2000: Use of Automated Observations for Verification of Turbulence Forecasts. Submitted to FAA Aviation Weather Research Program (available from B. Brown, Research Applications Laboratory, NCAR, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307-3000).

Brown, B.G., J.L. Mahoney, R. Bullock, T.L. Fowler, J. Hart, J. Henderson, and A. Loughe, 2000. Turbulence Algorithm Intercomparison: Winter 2000 Results. September 2000.

Brown, B.G., J.L. Mahoney, J.Henderson, T.L. Kane, R. Bullock, and J.E. Hart, 2000. The Turbulence Algorithm Intercomparison Exercise: Statistical Verification Results. 9th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 11-15 September, Orlando, FL, Amer. Met. Soc.

Mahoney, J.L. and B.G. Brown, 2000. Forecaster Assessment of Turbulence Algorithms: A Summary of Results for the Winter 2000 Study. Preprints, FAA Aviation Weather Research Program Turbulence Product Development Team, 25 September 2000.

Brown, B.G, J.L. Mahoney, R. Sharman, J. Vogt, and J. Henderson, 2000: Use of Automated Observations for Verification of Turbulence Forecasts. October 2000.

Brown, B.G, J.L. Mahoney, J. Henderson, T.L. Kane, R. Bullock, J.E. Hart, 2000: The Turbulence Algorithm Intercomparison Exercise: Statistical Verification Results. Preprints, 9th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 11-15 September, Orlando, FL, Amer. Met. Soc.

Brown, B.G, J.L. Mahoney, R. Bullock, J. Henderson, and T.L. Kane, 1999: Turbulence Algorithm Intercomparison: 1998-99 Initial Results. Report, Research Applications Laboratory, NCAR, Boulder, CO 80303, 64 pp (available from the Authors).

Marroquin, A., C.M.I.R. Girz, J. Mahoney, 1998: Forecasting Turbulence in the Upper Troposphere. Preprints, Annales Geophysicae, Part III Space and Planetary Sciences. Supplement III to Volume 6. 20-24 April, Nice, France, European Geophysical Soc., C961.

Verification Technologies [back to top]

Hamer, P., M. A. Petty and J. L. Mahoney, 2013: A Framework for Automated Forecast Verification and Dissemination of Performance Information. 29th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies, 6-10 January, Austin, TX.

Layne, G.J., P. Hamer, M.P. Kay, M.S. Wandishin, M.A. Petty, S.A. Lack, J.E. Hart, and J.L. Mahoney, 2013: VERIFIED: A web based tool to assess potential airspace constrain from operationally-relevant forecast products. Poster: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 6-10 January, Austin, TX.

Matheson, N.D., M.A. Petty, D.S. Schaffer, B. Lambi, S. Madine, and J. Luppens Mahoney, 2008: The Network-Enabled Verification Service (NEVS): Integrating data to support user-specific verification. Preprints, 13th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 21-24 January, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Met. Soc. (Note: This is the poster that was presented at the conference.)

Mahoney, J.L., Judy K. Henderson, Barbara G. Brown, Joan E. Hart, Andrew Loughe, Christopher Fischer, and Beth Sigren, 2002: The Real-Time Verification System (RTVS) and its Application to Aviation Weather Forecast. 10th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 13-16 May, Portland, OR, Amer. Met. Soc.

Mahoney, J.L., J.K. Henderson, B.G. Brown, C.S. Hartsough, 1999: Benefits of using FSL's Real-Time Verification System (RTVS) at the NWS/NCEP Aviation Weather Center. Preprints, 8th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 10-15 January, Dallas TX, 95-99, Amer. Met. Soc.

Fields, H. L., J.L. Mahoney, 1999: The Use of Verification from an Operational Forecaster's Perspective. Preprints, 8th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, 10-15 January, Dallas, TX, 105-106, Amer. Met. Soc.

Mahoney, J.L., J.K. Henderson, 1998: Developing the Real-Time Verification System to Support Aviation Forecasting and Product Development. Preprints, Annales Geophysicae, Part III Space and Planetary Sciences. Supplement III to Volume 6. 20-24 April, Nice, France, European Geophysical Soc., C961.

Mahoney, J.L, J.K. Henderson, B.G. Brown, D. Mathews, and F. Mosher, 1998: Verification of the Aviation Weather Center's In-Flight Aviation Weather Advisories: The Methods, Complexities, and Limitations. Preprints, 14th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences. 11-16 January, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Met. Soc., J65-J69.

Mahoney, J.L., J.K. Henderson, P.A. Miller 1997: Developing FSL's Real-Time Verification System. FSL Forum, Forecast Systems Laboratory, 325 Broadway, Boulder, CO, 4-9 (available from Nita Fullerton 303-497-6995).

Mahoney, J. L., J.K., Henderson, P.A. Miller, 1997: A Description of the Forecast Systems Laboratory's Real-Time Verification System (RTVS). Preprints, 7th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 2-7 February, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Met. Soc., J26 - J31.

Mahoney, J.L., J.K. Henderson, P.A. Miller, L.A. Sherretz, D.M. Rodgers, and M. Moore, 1997: Statistical Evaluation of Edited Icing Grids using FSL's Real-Time Verification System (RTVS). Preprints, 7th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 2-7 February, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Met. Soc., 120 - 125.

Mahoney, J.L., J.K. Henderson, P.A. Miller, L.A. Sherretz, D.M. Rodgers, M. Moore, and D. Sims, 1997: Using the FSL Prototype AIV Editor to Edit Icing Grids: A Preliminary Evaluation using the RTVS. NOAA Technical Memorandum, ERL FSL-20, Forecast Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO 80303, pp 14.

Mahoney, J.L., P.A. Miller, J.E. Ramer, T.L. Smith, M.M. Cairns, R.J. Miller, 1996: A Second Evaluation of State-of-the-Atmosphere Variables Generated by the MAPS Surface Assimilation System. NOAA Technical Memorandum. ERL FSL-19, 38 pp. FSL, Boulder, CO 80303.

Mahoney, J.L., C. Hartsough, P.A. Miller, M.M. Cairns, R.J. Miller, 1995: A Second Evaluation of Aviation Impact Variables Generated by LAPS. NOAA Technical Memorandum. ERL FSL-16, 89 pp. FSL, Boulder, CO 80303.

Marroquin, A., J.L. Mahoney, M.M. Cairns, R.J. Miller, 1995: Importance of Statistical Verification of AIVs from Mesoscale Numerical Model Output. Preprints. 6th Conference on Aviation Weather Systems, 15-20 January, Dallas, TX, Amer. Met. Soc.

Cairns, M.M., R.J. Miller, J. Chen, A. Marroquin, J.L. Mahoney, 1994: A Second Evaluation of Aviation Impact Variables Generated by the ETA Model. NOAA Technical Memorandum. ERL FSL-14, 94 pp. FSL, Boulder, CO 80303.

Cairns, M.M., R.J. Miller, J. Chen, J.L. Mahoney, S.G. Benjamin, J.E. Ramer, T.L. Smith, 1994: A Second Evaluation of Aviation Impact Variables Generated by the MAPS Model. NOAA Technical Memorandum. ERL FSL-13, 96 pp. FSL, Boulder, CO 80303.

Cairns, M.M., J.R. Miller, S.C. Albers, D.L. Birkenheuer, B.D. Jamison, C.S. Hartsough, J.L. Mahoney, A. Marroquin, P.T. McCaslin, J.E. Ramer, J.M. Schmidt, 1993: A Preliminary Evaluation of Aviation-Impact Variables Derived from Numerical Models. NOAA Technical Memorandum. ERL FSL-5, 165 pp. FSL, Boulder, CO 80303.

Other [back to top]

Lack, S.A., A.C. Micheas, and N.I. Fox, 2007: Evaluation of a Procrustes shape analysis verification tool using idealized cases. Preprints, 22nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, 25-29 June, Park City, UT, Amer. Met. Soc.

Bernadet, L., L. Nance, M. Demirtas, S. Koch, E. Szoke, T. Fowler, A. Loughe, J. Luppens Mahoney, H. Chuang, M. Pyle, and R. Gall, 2008: The Developmental Testbed Center and its Winter Forecasting Experiment. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc.

J. Mahoney, 2008: The Quality Assessment Research Team (QART) and NextGen Alignment. Preprints, 13th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 21-24 January, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Met. Soc.

M.P. Kay, S. Madine, J.L. Mahoney, J.E. Hart, 2008: Aligning Forecast Verification With User-Specific Needs - An Example For Aviation. Preprints, 13th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 21-24 January, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Met. Soc.

Brown, B., E. Gilleland, R. Hueftle, L. Holland, M. Kay, S. Madine, J. Mahoney, A. Takacs, and J. Wolff, 2005: Quality Assessment Report - Oceanic Weather Cloud-Top Height. Submitted to FAA Aviation Weather Technology Transfer (AWTT) Technical Review Panel.

Madine, S., M.P. Kay, and J.L. Mahoney, 2006: Comparing the FAA Cloud Top Height Product and the NESDIS/CIMMS Cloud Top Pressure Product in Oceanic Regions. Preprints, 12th Conference on Aviation and Range Meteorology, Atlanta, GA, Amer. Met. Soc.

Mahoney, J.L and B. Brown, 2006: The FAA Aviation Weather Research Program Quality Assessment Product Development Team. Preprints, 12th Conference on Aviation and Range Meteorology, Atlanta, GA, Amer. Met. Soc.

Kay, M.P., and J.L. Mahoney, 2005: Near real-time verification at the Forecast Systems Laboratory: An operational perspective. WWRP Symposium on Nowcasting and Very Short Range Forecasting, Toulouse, France, 5-9 September 2005.

Shaw, B., M. Kay, J. Mahoney, J. McGinley, J. Smart, P. Welsch, A. Wildman, J.Savadel, P. Bogenschutz, P. Ruscher: 2004. Applying the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model to National Weather Service Forecast Office Operations. Preprints, 16th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 11-15 January, Seattle, WA, Amer. Met. Soc.

Welsh, P., A. Wildman, B. Shaw, J. Smart, J. McGinley, J.L. Mahoney, and M. Kay, 2004: Implementing and evaluating the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) Model at NWS WFO Jacksonville, Florida. Preprints, 20th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/16th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 11-15 January, Seattle, Washington, Amer. Met. Soc.

Brown, B.G., A. Takacs, J.L. Mahoney, and T. Fowler, 2002: Summary of workshop on forecast verification. Submitted to Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

Kay, M. P. and M. E. Baldwin, 2002: Combining objective and subjective information to improve forecast evaluation. Preprints, 19th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting. 11-15 August, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Met. Soc.

Kain, J. S., M. E. Baldwin, S. J. Weiss, P. R. Janish, G. Carbin, M. P. Kay, and L. Brown, 2002: Subjective verification of numerical models as a component of a broader interaction between research and operations. Preprints. 15th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 11-15 August, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Met. Soc.