Lesley L. Smith – US Extreme Precipitation

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Time Series Analyses

NCAR CGD CAM6

Cut-points:

Number of exceedances of above cut-points, for sample year:

Below calcs from 2019

NOAA PSL APA CAM5

CAM5 40 (1^o x 1^o lat-lon grid) runs

Statistics of exceedances computed over 40 runs (1^o x 1^o lat-lon grid): high dotted line is high decile, low dotted line is low decile
high dashed line is high quartile, low dashed line is low quartile
heavy black line is median

Statistics of exceedances computed over 40 runs
box/whisker plots calculated for 20-year periods, e.g. first box/whisker at '1911' for 1901-1920
hi decile, hi quartile, median, lo quartile, lo decile, with plus-sign indicating mean

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CAM5 all runs (1^o x 1^o lat-lon grid) exceedances time series each run

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Statistics of number of exceedances computed over 40 CAM5 Factual runs (1^o x 1^o grid): 1979-2018
high dotted line is high decile, low dotted line is low decile
high dashed line is high quartile, low dashed line is low quartile
heavy black line is median