2010 Physical Sciences Review » Biographies » Dr. Randall M. Dole

Dr. Randall M. Dole

Dr. Randall M. Dole

Dr. Randall M. Dole

Deputy Director for Research

Physical Sciences Division


I support the Director in developing a forward-looking organization that plans for and meets NOAA and societal needs for weather and climate information. I publish papers on understanding climate-weather connections, advancing climate predictions, and setting new directions for U.S. and international weather and climate research in the 21st century. I serve as co-chair of the USGCRP Interagency Working Group on "Climate Variability and Change", as CIRES Associate Director for the Weather and Climate Dynamics Division, on the NOAA Climate Executive Board, as NOAA capability lead for Climate Analysis and Attribution, and on several NOAA and external advisory panels.


  • Ph. D. Meteorology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1982
  • B.Sc. Atmospheric Sciences (honors and distinction), Cornell University, 1975

Research Interests

  • Climate-weather connections, especially extreme events
  • Climate analysis and attribution
  • Drought causes and potential predictability
  • Uses of weather and climate information in decision support


  • Fellow, American Meteorology Society
  • Fellow, University of Colorado CIRES
  • Department of Commerce Silver Medal Award
  • NOAA Administrator's Award
  • NOAA Bronze Medal Awards (4)
  • NOAA Outstanding Performance Award
  • NOAA Sustained Superior Performance Award
  • MIT Award for Outstanding Teaching, Dept. of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences
  • Expert reviewer and member of U.S. delegation for IPCC AR4 Working Group I Report on "Climate Change 2007: The Physical Basis"
  • Editor, Monthly Weather Review (1994-96)

Recent Publications

  • Dole, R. M., 2003: "Predicting Climate Variations in the Interior West: What are our Prospects?" Water and climate in the Western United States. W. Lewis, Ed. University of Colorado Press, Boulder, CO, pp. 9-28.
  • Dole, R. M., 2008: Linking Weather and Climate. Amer. Met. Soc., Met. Monogr., 33, No. 55, 297-348.
  • Dole, R. M., M. Hoerling and S. Schubert, eds., 2008: Reanalysis of Historical Climate Data for Key Atmospheric Features: Implications for Attribution of Causes of Observed Change. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, NC. 136 pp.
  • Shapiro, M., J. Shukla, C. Nobre, G. Brunet, R. Dole et al, 2009: An Earth-System Prediction Initiative for the 21st Century. Bull. Am. Met. Soc., accepted.
  • Brunet, G., M. Shapiro, B. Hoskins, M. Moncrieff, R. Dole, et al., 2009: Toward a seamless process for the prediction of weather and climate: the advancement of sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction. Bull. Am. Met. Soc., accepted.