PSD Staff List  »  Michael Scheuerer
Michael Scheuerer – Research Scientist
Image of Michael Scheuerer
Forecast and Modeling Development Team
Affiliation: CIRES
Phone: (303) 497-4281
Mailing Address:
NOAA/ESRL Physical Sciences Division
325 Broadway
Boulder, CO 80305

Fax: (303) 497-6020


I received my graduate degree and Ph.D. in mathematics with an emphasis on spatial statistics. Since then I have focused on statistical applications in meteorology.

Research Interests

  • Probabilistic weather forecasting
  • Forecast verification



  • Thorarinsdottir, T.L., Scheuerer, M. and Heinz, C. (2016): Assessing the calibration of high-dimensional ensemble forecasts using rank histograms. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 25(1): 105-122.
  • Scheuerer, M. and Möller, D. (2015): Probabilistic wind speed forecasting on a grid based on ensemble model output statistics. The Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(3): 1328-1349.
  • Scheuerer, M. and Hamill, T.M. (2015): Statistical post-processing of ensemble precipitation forecasts by fitting censored, shifted Gamma distributions. Monthly Weather Review, 143(11): 4578-4596.
  • Scheuerer, M. and Hamill, T.M. (2015): Variogram-based proper scoring rules for probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities. Monthly Weather Review, 143(4): 1321-1334.
  • Feldmann, K., Scheuerer, M. and Thorarinsdottir, T.L. (2015): Spatial postprocessing of ensemble forecasts for temperature using nonhomogeneous Gaussian regression. Monthly Weather Review, 143(3): 955-971.