PSD Staff List  »  Michael Scheuerer
Michael Scheuerer – Research Scientist
Image of Michael Scheuerer
Forecast and Modeling Development Team
Affiliation: CIRES
Phone: (303) 497-4281
Mailing Address:
NOAA/ESRL Physical Sciences Division
325 Broadway
Boulder, CO 80305

Fax: (303) 497-6020


I received my graduate degree and Ph.D. in mathematics with an emphasis on spatial statistics. Since then I have focused on statistical applications in meteorology.

Research Interests

  • Probabilistic weather forecasting
  • Forecast verification



  • Worsnop, R.P., Scheuerer, M., Hamill, T.M., and Lundquist J.K. (2018): Generating wind power scenarios for probabilistic ramp event prediction using multivariate statistical post-processing. Wind Energy Science, 3, 371-393.
  • Scheuerer, M., Hamill, T.M., Whitin, B., He, M. and Henkel A. (2017): A method for preferential selection of dates in the Schaake shuffle approach to constructing spatio-temporal forecast fields of temperature and precipitation. Water Resources Research, 53(4), 3029-3046.
  • Scheuerer, M., Gregory, S., Hamill, T.M. and Shafer, P.E. (2017): Probabilistic precipitation type forecasting based on GEFS ensemble forecasts of vertical temperature profiles. Monthly Weather Review, 145(4): 1401-1412.
  • Thorarinsdottir, T.L., Scheuerer, M. and Heinz, C. (2016): Assessing the calibration of high-dimensional ensemble forecasts using rank histograms. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 25(1): 105-122.
  • Scheuerer, M. and Möller, D. (2015): Probabilistic wind speed forecasting on a grid based on ensemble model output statistics. The Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(3): 1328-1349.