PSD Staff List  »  Lesley L. Smith
Lesley L. Smith – Research Associate
Attribution and Predictability Assessments Team
Affiliation: CIRES
Phone: (303) 497-6172
E-mail: lesley.l.smith@noaa.gov
Mailing Address:
NOAA/ESRL Physical Sciences Division
R/PSD1
325 Broadway
Boulder, CO 80305

Fax: (303) 497-6020

All plots preliminary.
Back to main S mith page

Re. Model Evaluation, Analysis

Preliminary Climate of the 20th Century Project

APA model runs here for comparison.
Other models here for comparison.

Unless stated otherwise, assume Ensemble Means

Time Series plots at bottom of page

Temperature plots below precip

ENSO-related plots near bottom

Surface Temperature and Z500: All-Hist compared with Nat-Hist


Precipitation

Decadal Means compared with 1960s:

Decadal differences All-Hist minus Nat-Hist

normal from Nat-Hist (All-Hist minus Nat-Hist):

Temperature

Decadal Means compared with 1960s:

Decadal differences All-Hist minus Nat-Hist:

ENSO Impacts on long term seasonal mean U.S. precipitation:

For comparison, observational precipitation data:


Ensemble average 1959-2014 (50 members):

normal from All-Hist (all data from All-Hist):

normal from Nat-Hist (all data from Nat-Hist):


Time series: