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Climate Analysis Branch Publications - 2006

Including introductions or abstracts; PSD authors are in boldface

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Alexander, M., J. Yin, G. Branstator, A. Capotondi, C. Cassou, R. Cullather, Y.-O. Kwon, J. Norris, J. Scott, and Ilana Wainer, 2006: Extratropical Atmosphere-Ocean Variability in CCSM3. J. Climate, 19, 2496-2525, doi: 10.1175/JCLI3743.1. [Abstract]

Barsugli J. J, Shin S. I, and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 2006: Sensitivity of global warming to the pattern of tropical ocean warming. Climate Dynamics, 27, 483-492.

Compo, G. P., J. S. Whitaker, P. D. Sardeshmukh, 2006: Feasibility of a 100-year reanalysis using only surface pressure data. Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 87, 175-190, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-87-2-175. [Abstract]

Hall, N. M. J., G. N. Kiladis, and C. D. Thorncroft, 2006: Three dimensional structure and dynamics of African easterly waves. Part II: Dynamical modes. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 2231-2245.

Hamill, T. M., J. S. Whitaker, and S. L. Mullen, 2006: Reforecasts: An important dataset for improving weather predictions. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 87, 33-46. [Abstract]

Hamill, T. M., 2006: Ensemble-based atmospheric data assimilation Chapter 6 of Predictability of Weather and Climate, Cambridge Press, 124-156.

Han, W., W. T. Liu, and J. Lin, 2006: Impact of atmospheric submonthly oscillations on sea surface temperature of the tropical Indian Ocean. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L03609, doi:10.1029/2005GL025082.

Han, W., T. Shinoda, L.-L. Fu, and J. P. McCreary, 2006: Impact of Atmospheric Intraseasonal Oscillations on the Indian Ocean Dipole during the 1990s. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 36, 670-690.

Hoerling, M., J. Hurrell, and J. Eischeid, 2006: Detection and attribution of 20th Century northern and southern African rainfall change. J. Climate, 19, 3989-4008.

Hoerling, M. P., A.Kumar, T. Xu, G. Bates and B. Jha, 2006: Warm oceans warm land temperatures. Eos Trans. AGU, 87, 189-193.

Kiladis, G. N., C. D. Thorncroft, and N. M. J. Hall, 2006: Three dimensional structure and dynamics of African easterly waves. Part I: Observations. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 2212-2230.

Kiladis, G. N., and B. E. Mapes, 2006: Convective life cycles and scale interactions in tropical waves, Dyn. Atmos. Oceans, (preface), doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2006.07.001.

Krishna Kumar, B. Rajagopalan, M. Hoerling, G. Bates, and M. Cane, 2006: Unraveling the mystery of Indian Monsoon Failure during El Niño. Science, 314, 115-119, doi: 10.1126/science.1131152.

Li, S., M. P. Hoerling, S. Peng, and K. M. Weickmann, 2006: The Annular Response to Tropical Pacific SST Forcing. J. Climate, 19, 1802-1819, doi: 10.1175/JCLI3668.1. [Abstract]

Lin, J.-L., G. N. Kiladis, B. E. Mapes, K. M. Weickmann, K. R. Sperber, W. Lin, M. C. Wheeler, S. D. Schubert, A. Del Genio, L. J. Donner, S. Emori, J.-F. Gueremy, F. Hourdin, P. J. Rasch, E. Roeckner, and J. F. Scinocca, 2006: Tropical Intraseasonal Variability in 14 IPCC AR4 Climate Models. Part I: Convective Signals. J. Climate, 19, 2665-2690, doi: 10.1175/JCLI3735.1. [Abstract]

Murnane, R. J., and H. F. Diaz, 2006: Assessing, modeling, and monitoring the impacts of extreme climate events. EOS, Transactions, American Geophysical Union, 87, 25, 30. [Introduction]

Penland, C., and L. Matrosova, 2006: "Enhanced predictability of Caribbean sea surface temperatures using a nonnormal filter." Proc. Caribbean Climate Symposium, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico, 24-25 April 2006. (On CD)

Quan, X. , M. Hoerling, J. Whitaker, G. Bates, and T. Xu, 2006: Diagnosing Sources of U.S. Seasonal Forecast Skill. J. Climate, 19, 3279-3293, doi: 10.1175/JCLI3789.1. [Abstract]

Roundy, P. E., and G. N. Kiladis, 2006: Observed relationships between oceanic Kelvin waves and atmospheric forcing. J. Climate, 19, 5253-5272.

Schmidt, G. A., R. Ruedy, J. E. Hansen, I. Aleinov, N. Bell, M. Bauer, S. Bauer, B. Cairns, V. Canuto, Y. Cheng, A. Del Genio, G. Faluvegi, A. D. Friend, T. M. Hall, Y. Hu, M. Kelley, N.Y. Kiang, D. Koch, A. A. Lacis, J. Lerner, K. K. Lo, R. L. Miller, L. Nazarenko, V. Oinas, J. Perlwitz, D. Rind, A. Romanou, G. L. Russell, Mki. Sato, D. T. Shindell, P. H. Stone, S. Sun, N. Tausnev, D. Thresher, and M.-S. Yao 2006. Present day atmospheric simulations using GISS ModelE: Comparison to in-situ, satellite and reanalysis data. J. Climate 19, 153-192.

Shin, Sang-Ik, Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, Robert S. Webb, Robert J. Oglesby, and Joseph J. Barsugli, 2006: Understanding the Mid-Holocene Climate. Journal of Climate, 19, 2801-2817, doi: 10.1175/JCLI3733.1. [Abstract]

Solomon, A., and D. Zhang, 2006: Pacific Subtropical Cell Variability in coupled climate model simulations of the late 19th-20th Century. Ocean Modelling, doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2006.03.007. [Abstract]

Solomon, A., and I. Wainer, 2006: Pacific tropical-extratropical thermocline water mass exchanges in the NCAR CCSM3. Ocean Modelling, doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2006.04.003. [Abstract]

Solomon, A., 2006: The impact of latent heat release on polar climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 22, L07716. [Abstract]

Straub, K. H., G. N. Kiladis, and P. E. Ciesielski, 2006: The role of equatorial waves in the onset of the South China Sea summer monsoon and the demise of El Niño during 1998. Dyn. Atmos. Oceans, doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2006.02.005.

Sun, D.-Z. and T. Zhang 2006: A Regulatory Effect of ENSO on the Time-Mean Thermal Stratification of the Equatorial Upper Ocean. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L07710, doi:10.1029/2005GL025296

Sun, D.-Z., T. Zhang, C. Covey, S. Klein, W. D. Collins, J. J. Hack, J. T. Kiehl, G.A. Meehl, I.M. Held, and M. Suarez, 2006: Radiative and Dynamical Feedbacks Over the Equatorial Cold-tongue: Results from Nine Atmospheric GCMs. J. Climate, 19, 4059-4074.

Sura, P., M. Newman, and M. A. Alexander, 2006: Daily to decadal sea surface temperature variability driven by state-dependent stochastic heat fluxes. J. Phys. Ocean., 36, 1940-1958.

Swann, A, A. H. Sobel, S. E. Yuter, and G. N. Kiladis, 2006: Observed radar reflectivity in convectively coupled Kelvin and mixed Rossby-gravity waves. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L10804, doi:10.1029/2006GL025979.

Wainer, I., A. Lazar, and A. Solomon, 2006. Tropical extra-tropical thermocline water mass exchanges in the Community Climate Model v.3 Part I: the Atlantic Ocean. Ocean Sci., 2, 137-146.

Waliser, D., K. Weickmann, R. Dole, S. Schubert, O. Alves, C. Jones, M. Newman, H.-L. Pan, A. Roubicek, S. Saha, C. Smith, H. Van den Dool, F. Vitart, M. Wheeler, and J. Whitaker, 2006: The Experimental MJO Prediction Project. Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 87, 425-431, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-87-4-425.

Wei, M., Z. Toth, R. Wobus, Y. Zhu, C. H. Bishop, and X. Wang, 2006: Ensemble transform Kalman filter-based ensemble perturbations in an operational global prediction system at NCEP. Tellus, 58A, 28-44.

Whitaker, J. S., F. Vitart, and X. Wei, 2006: Improving week two forecasts with multi-model re-forecast ensembles. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 2279-2284.

Zhang, T. and D.-Z. Sun, 2006: Response of water vapor and clouds to El Niño warming in three NCAR models. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D17103, doi:10.1029/2005JD006700.

Zuidema, P., B. E. Mapes, J. L. Lin, and C. Fairall, 2006: The interaction of clouds and dry air in the eastern tropical Pacific. J. Climate, 19, 4531-4544.