- Goddard, L., and the US CLIVAR Decadal Predictability Working Group, 2012: A Verification Framework for
Interannual-to-Decadal Predictions Experiments. Clim. Dyn., submitted.
- Solomon, A., and M. Newman,
2012: Reconciling disparate 20th century Indo-Pacific ocean temperature trends in the instrumental record.
Nature Climate Change, accepted.
- Newman, M., G. N. Kiladis, K. M. Weickmann, F. M. Ralph, and P. D. Sardeshmukh
2012: Relative contributions of synoptic and low-frequency eddies to time-mean atmospheric moisture transport, including the role of atmospheric rivers. J. Climate, in press.
- Newman, M., S.-I. Shin, and M. A. Alexander,
2011: Natural variation in ENSO flavors.
Geophys. Res. Lett., L14705, doi:10.1029/2011GL047658.
- Solomon, A., and M. Newman,
2011: Decadal predictability of tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean temperature trends due to anthropogenic forcing in a coupled climate model.
Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L02703, doi:10.1029/2010GL045978.
- Newman, M., M. A. Alexander, and J. D. Scott,
2011: An empirical model of tropical ocean dynamics.
Climate Dynamics, 37, 1823-1841, doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1034-0.
- Solomon, A., and the US CLIVAR Decadal Predictability Working Group, 2011: Distinguishing the roles of natural and
anthropogenically forced decadal climate variability:
Implications for prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
92, 141-156, doi: 10.1175/2010BAMS2962.1.
- Newman, M., P. D. Sardeshmukh, and C. Penland,
2009: How important is air-sea coupling in ENSO and MJO evolution?
J. Climate, 22, 2958-2977.
- Bladé, I., M. Newman, M. A. Alexander, and J. D. Scott, 2008: The late fall extratropical response to ENSO: Sensitivity to coupling and convection in the Tropical West Pacific.
J. Climate, 21, 6101-6118.
- Newman, M. and P. D. Sardeshmukh,
2008: Tropical and stratospheric influences on extratropical
short-term climate variability. J. Climate, 21, 4326-4347.
- Sura, P.
and
M. Newman, 2008: The impact of rapid wind variability upon
air-sea thermal coupling. J. Climate, 21, 621-637.
- Newman, M., 2007: Interannual to decadal predictability of
tropical and North Pacific sea surface temperatures.
J. Climate, 20, 2333-2356.
- Sura, P.,
M. Newman, and M. A. Alexander, 2006: Daily to decadal
sea surface temperature variability driven by state-dependent
stochastic heat fluxes.
J. Phys. Ocean., 36, 1940-1958.
Download an adobe acrobat version (pdf) of the paper. - Sura, P.,
M. Newman, C. Penland,
and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 2005:
Multiplicative noise and non-Gaussianity: A paradigm for
atmospheric regimes? J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 1391-1409.
Download an adobe acrobat version (pdf) of the paper. - Lin, J., B. Mapes, M. Zhang, and M. Newman, 2004: Stratiform precipitation, vertical heating
profiles, and the Madden-Julian Oscillation.
J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 296-309.
- Newman, M., G. P. Compo, M. A. Alexander, 2003: ENSO-forced variability of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. J. Climate, 16, 3853-3857.
- Sardeshmukh, P. D., C. Penland, and
M. Newman, 2003: Drift induced by multiplicative red noise with
application to climate. Europhysics Letters, 63, 498-504.
- Newman, M., P. D. Sardeshmukh,
C. R. Winkler, and J. S. Whitaker, 2003: A study
of subseasonal predictability. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 1715-1732.
- Alexander, M. A., I. Bladé,
M. Newman, J. R. Lanzante, N.-C. Lau, and J. D. Scott, 2002: The atmospheric
bridge: the influence of ENSO teleconnections on air-sea
interaction over the global oceans.
J. Climate, 15, 2205-2231.
- Winkler, C. R., M. Newman, and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 2001: A
linear model of wintertime low-frequency variability. Part I:
Formulation and forecast skill.
J. Climate, 14, 4474-4494.
- Sardeshmukh, P. D., C. Penland, and
M. Newman, 2001: Rossby waves in a fluctuating
medium. In Stochastic Climate Models, ed. P. Imkeller and J.-S. von
Storch, Progress in Probability, Birkhaueser, Basel, pp. 369-384.
- Newman, M., M. A. Alexander, C. R. Winkler,
J. D. Scott, and J. J. Barsugli, 2000: A
linear diagnosis of the coupled extratropical
Ocean-Atmosphere system in the GFDL GCM.
Atmospheric Sciences Letters, 1, 14-25, doi:10.1006/asle.2000.0002.
- Hendon, H., B. Liebmann, M. Newman,
J.D. Glick, and J.E. Schemm, 2000: Medium range forecast
errors associated with active episodes of the Madden-Julian oscillation.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 68-86.
- Newman M., P. D. Sardeshmukh, and
J. W. Bergman, 2000: An assessment
of the NCEP, NASA and ECMWF reanalyses over the Tropical West Pacific
warm pool. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 41-48.
- Chen, P. and M. Newman,
1998:
Rossby-wave propagation and the rapid development of upper-level
anomalous anticyclones during the 1988 U.S. drought.
J. Climate, 11, 2491-2504.
- Newman, M. and P. D. Sardeshmukh,
1998: The impact of the annual cycle on the North Pacific/North American
response to remote low frequency forcing. J. Atmos. Sci.,
55, 1336-1353.
- Newman, M., P. D. Sardeshmukh, and C. Penland,
1997: Stochastic forcing of the wintertime extratropical flow.
J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 435-455.
- Sardeshmukh, P. D., M. Newman, and M. D. Borges,
1997: Free Barotropic Rossby wave dynamics of the wintertime low-frequency flow.
J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 5-23.
- Newman, M. and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 1995:
A caveat concerning Singular Value Decomposition. J. Climate,
8, 352-360.
- Newman, M. and J. Barsugli, 1993: Quasilinear and nonlinear evolution of optimal initial perturbations in barotropic flow. Ninth Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic waves and Stability, San Antonio, Texas, 305-307.
Examining the sensitivity of low frequency variability to the time of year