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• Smirnov, D., M. Newman, and M. A. Alexander, 2013: Investigating the role of ocean-atmosphere coupling in the North Pacific Ocean. Submitted to J. Climate.

• Ault, T., C. Deser, M. Newman, and J. Emile-Geay, 2013: Characterizing decadal to centennial variability in the equatorial Pacific during the last millennium. Submitted to Geophys. Res. Lett. Supplementary material here.

• Newman, M., 2013: An empirical benchmark for decadal forecasts of global surface temperature anomalies. J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00590.1, in press.

• Goddard, L., and the US CLIVAR Decadal Predictability Working Group, 2013: A verification framework for Interannual-to-Decadal predictions experiments. Clim. Dyn., DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1481-2.

• Solomon, A., and M. Newman, 2012: Reconciling disparate 20th century Indo-Pacific ocean temperature trends in the instrumental record. Nature Climate Change, 2, doi:10.1038/nclimate1591.

• Newman, M., G. N. Kiladis, K. M. Weickmann, F. M. Ralph, and P. D. Sardeshmukh 2012: Relative contributions of synoptic and low-frequency eddies to time-mean atmospheric moisture transport, including the role of atmospheric rivers. J. Climate, 25, 7341-7361. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00665.1

• Newman, M., S.-I. Shin, and M. A. Alexander, 2011: Natural variation in ENSO flavors. Geophys. Res. Lett., L14705, doi:10.1029/2011GL047658.

• Solomon, A., and M. Newman, 2011: Decadal predictability of tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean temperature trends due to anthropogenic forcing in a coupled climate model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L02703, doi:10.1029/2010GL045978.

• Newman, M., M. A. Alexander, and J. D. Scott, 2011: An empirical model of tropical ocean dynamics. Climate Dynamics, 37, 1823-1841, doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1034-0.

• Solomon, A., and the US CLIVAR Decadal Predictability Working Group, 2011: Distinguishing the roles of natural and anthropogenically forced decadal climate variability: Implications for prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 92, 141-156, doi: 10.1175/2010BAMS2962.1.

• Newman, M., P. D. Sardeshmukh, and C. Penland, 2009: How important is air-sea coupling in ENSO and MJO evolution? J. Climate, 22, 2958-2977.

• Bladé, I., M. Newman, M. A. Alexander, and J. D. Scott, 2008: The late fall extratropical response to ENSO: Sensitivity to coupling and convection in the Tropical West Pacific. J. Climate, 21, 6101-6118.

• Newman, M. and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 2008: Tropical and stratospheric influences on extratropical short-term climate variability. J. Climate, 21, 4326-4347.

• Sura, P. and M. Newman, 2008: The impact of rapid wind variability upon air-sea thermal coupling. J. Climate, 21, 621-637.

• Newman, M., 2007: Interannual to decadal predictability of tropical and North Pacific sea surface temperatures. J. Climate, 20, 2333-2356.

• Sura, P., M. Newman, and M. A. Alexander, 2006: Daily to decadal sea surface temperature variability driven by state-dependent stochastic heat fluxes. J. Phys. Ocean., 36, 1940-1958.
  Download an adobe acrobat version (pdf) of the paper.

• Sura, P., M. Newman, C. Penland, and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 2005: Multiplicative noise and non-Gaussianity: A paradigm for atmospheric regimes? J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 1391-1409.
  Download an adobe acrobat version (pdf) of the paper.

• Lin, J., B. Mapes, M. Zhang, and M. Newman, 2004: Stratiform precipitation, vertical heating profiles, and the Madden-Julian Oscillation. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 296-309.

• Newman, M., G. P. Compo, M. A. Alexander, 2003: ENSO-forced variability of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. J. Climate, 16, 3853-3857.

• Sardeshmukh, P. D., C. Penland, and M. Newman, 2003: Drift induced by multiplicative red noise with application to climate. Europhysics Letters, 63, 498-504.

• Newman, M., P. D. Sardeshmukh, C. R. Winkler, and J. S. Whitaker, 2003: A study of subseasonal predictability. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 1715-1732.

• Alexander, M. A., I. Bladé, M. Newman, J. R. Lanzante, N.-C. Lau, and J. D. Scott, 2002: The atmospheric bridge: the influence of ENSO teleconnections on air-sea interaction over the global oceans. J. Climate, 15, 2205-2231.

• Winkler, C. R., M. Newman, and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 2001: A linear model of wintertime low-frequency variability. Part I: Formulation and forecast skill. J. Climate, 14, 4474-4494.

• Sardeshmukh, P. D., C. Penland, and M. Newman, 2001: Rossby waves in a fluctuating medium. In Stochastic Climate Models, ed. P. Imkeller and J.-S. von Storch, Progress in Probability, Birkhaueser, Basel, pp. 369-384.

• Newman, M., M. A. Alexander, C. R. Winkler, J. D. Scott, and J. J. Barsugli, 2000: A linear diagnosis of the coupled extratropical Ocean-Atmosphere system in the GFDL GCM. Atmospheric Sciences Letters, 1, 14-25, doi:10.1006/asle.2000.0002.

• Hendon, H., B. Liebmann, M. Newman, J.D. Glick, and J.E. Schemm, 2000: Medium range forecast errors associated with active episodes of the Madden-Julian oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 68-86.

• Newman M., P. D. Sardeshmukh, and J. W. Bergman, 2000: An assessment of the NCEP, NASA and ECMWF reanalyses over the Tropical West Pacific warm pool. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 41-48.

• Chen, P. and M. Newman, 1998: Rossby-wave propagation and the rapid development of upper-level anomalous anticyclones during the 1988 U.S. drought. J. Climate, 11, 2491-2504.

• Newman, M. and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 1998: The impact of the annual cycle on the North Pacific/North American response to remote low frequency forcing. J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 1336-1353.

• Newman, M., P. D. Sardeshmukh, and C. Penland, 1997: Stochastic forcing of the wintertime extratropical flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 435-455.

• Sardeshmukh, P. D., M. Newman, and M. D. Borges, 1997: Free Barotropic Rossby wave dynamics of the wintertime low-frequency flow. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 5-23.

• Newman, M. and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 1995: A caveat concerning Singular Value Decomposition. J. Climate, 8, 352-360.

• Newman, M. and J. Barsugli, 1993: Quasilinear and nonlinear evolution of optimal initial perturbations in barotropic flow. Ninth Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic waves and Stability, San Antonio, Texas, 305-307.