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CarbonTracker
 
Documentation (CT2007B)
Biosphere Oceans Observations Fires Fossil Fuel TM5 Nested Model Assimilation
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Observations [goto top]
1.   Introduction
The observations of CO2 mole fraction by NOAA ESRL and partner laboratories are at the heart of CarbonTracker. They inform us on changes in the carbon cycle, whether they are regular (such as the seasonal growth and decay of leaves and trees), or irregular (such as the release of tons of carbon by a wildfire). The results in CarbonTracker depend directly on the quality and amount of observations available, and the degree of detail at which we can monitor the carbon cycle reliably increases strongly with the density of our observing network.

2.   Detailed Description
This study uses all analyzed air samples taken at the surface from the NOAA ESRL Cooperative Air Sampling Network available for each year studied, except those flagged for analysis or sampling problems, or those thought to be influenced by local sources. The composition of the network thus varies per week depending on successful sampling and analysis, and each site's sampling frequency. In addition, we use in situ quasi-continuous CO2 time series from seven towers: (1) the 396m level of the WLEF tower in Wisconsin; (2) the 107m level of the AMT tower in Argyle, Maine; (3) the 251m level of the KWKT tower in Texas; (4) the 40m level of the tower in Fraserdale, Canada operated by Environment Canada (EC); (5) the 23m level of the tower at Candle Lake (formerly Old Black Spruce), Canada operated by EC; (6) the 9m level of the tower at Storm Peak Laboratory operated by NCAR; and (7) the 5m level of the tower at Niwot Ridge operated by NCAR. Other in situ quasi-continuous CO2 time series used are from the NOAA ESRL observatories at Barrow, Mauna Loa, Samoa, and South Pole, and the EC programs at Alert, Canada and Sable Island, Canada. Note that all of these observations are calibrated against the same world CO2 standard (WMO-2005). Also, note that aircraft observations from the NOAA ESRL program were NOT assimilated, but used for independent assessment of the CarbonTracker results.

At the tower-based quasi-continuous sampling sites, we construct one daytime average (12:00-16:00 Local Standard Time) mole fraction for each day from the time series, recognizing that our atmospheric transport model does not always capture the continental nighttime stability regime while daytime well-mixed conditions are better matched. At mountain-top sites (MLO, NWR, and SPL), we use midnight-4:00 LST averages as this tends to be the most stable time period and avoids periods of upslope flows that contain local vegetative and/or anthropogenic influence. Moreover, observations at sub-daily time scales are likely to be strongly correlated and therefore add relatively little independent information to our results. Also based on Transcom continuous simulations, we decided to move a set of coastal sites by one degree into the ocean to force the model sample to be more representative of the actual site conditions. These sites are labeled for reference in the complete table of sites used in CarbonTracker.

We apply a further selection criterion during the assimilation to exclude non-Marine Boundary Layer (MBL) observations that are very poorly forecasted in our framework. We use the so-called model-data mismatch in this process, which is the random error ascribed to each observation to account for measurement errors as well as modeling errors of that observation. We interpret an observed-minus-forecasted (OmF) mole fraction that exceeds 3 times the prescribed model-data mismatch as an indicator that our modeling framework fails. This can happen for instance when an air sample is representative of local exchange not captured well by our 1x1 degree fluxes, when local meteorological conditions are not captured by our offline transport fields, but also when large-scale CO2 exchange is suddenly changed (e.g. fires, pests, droughts) to an extent that can not be accommodated by our flux modules. This last situation would imply an important change in the carbon cycle and has to be recognized by the researchers when analyzing the results. In accordance with the 3-sigma rejection criterion, ~2% of the observations are discarded through this mechanism in our assimilations. Table 1 gives a summary of the observing sites used in CarbonTracker and the assimilation performance.

CodeNameLat, Lon, ElevLabN usedN flaggedmismatchInn X2
alt_06c0 Alert, Nunavut, Canada82 27'N, 62 31'W, 200.0m EC2347 0 2.50 0.20
amt_01c3 Argyle, Maine, United States45 2'N, 68 41'W, 50.0m ESRL 996 8 3.00 0.67
brw_01c0 Barrow, Alaska, United States71 19'N, 156 36'W, 11.0m ESRL1951 1 2.50 0.31
cdl_06c3 Candle Lake, Saskatchewan, Canada53 59'N, 105 7'W, 628.0m EC1388 4 3.00 0.65
frd_06c3 Fraserdale, Canada49 53'N, 81 34'W, 210.0m EC2321 11 3.00 0.51
lef_01c3 Park Falls, Wisconsin, United States45 56'N, 90 16'W, 472.0m ESRL2116 11 3.00 0.61
mlo_01c0 Mauna Loa, Hawaii, United States19 32'N, 155 35'W, 3397.0m ESRL1260 0 0.75 0.82
nwr_03c3 Niwot Ridge, Colorado, United States40 3'N, 105 35'W, 3523.0m NCAR 395 0 3.00 0.26
sbl_06c3 Sable Island, Nova Scotia, Canada43 56'N, 60 1'W, 5.0m EC1180 11 3.00 0.47
smo_01c0 Tutuila, American Samoa14 14'S, 170 34'W, 42.0m ESRL2206 0 0.751451.49
spl_03c3Storm Peak Laboratory (Desert Research Institute), United States40 27'N, 106 44'W, 3210.0m NCAR 470 0 3.00 0.39
spo_01c0 South Pole, Antarctica, United States89 59'S, 24 48'W, 2810.0m ESRL2440 0 0.75 0.27
wkt_01c3 Moody, Texas, United States31 19'N, 97 20'W, 251.0m ESRL 859 8 3.00 0.72
alt_01d0 Alert, Nunavut, Canada82 27'N, 62 31'W, 200.0m ESRL 334 0 1.50 0.46
asc_01d0 Ascension Island, United Kingdom7 55'S, 14 25'W, 54.0m ESRL 594 0 0.75 1.09
ask_01d0 Assekrem, Algeria23 11'N, 5 25'E, 2728.0m ESRL 306 0 1.50 0.40
azr_01d0 Terceira Island, Azores, Portugal38 46'N, 27 23'W, 40.0m ESRL 223 4 1.50 0.94
bal_01d0 Baltic Sea, Poland55 21'N, 17 13'E, 3.0m ESRL 549 0 7.50 0.43
bkt_01d0 Bukit Kototabang, Indonesia0 12'S, 100 19'E, 864.5m ESRL 106 0 7.50 0.67
bme_01d0 St. Davids Head, Bermuda, United Kingdom32 22'N, 64 39'W, 30.0m ESRL 207 8 1.50 1.27
bmw_01d0 Tudor Hill, Bermuda, United Kingdom32 16'N, 64 53'W, 30.0m ESRL 236 2 1.50 1.04
brw_01d0 Barrow, Alaska, United States71 19'N, 156 36'W, 11.0m ESRL 315 2 1.50 0.72
bsc_01d0 Black Sea, Constanta, Romania44 10'N, 28 41'E, 3.0m ESRL 268 1 7.50 0.75
cba_01d0 Cold Bay, Alaska, United States55 12'N, 162 43'W, 25.0m ESRL 530 23 1.50 1.26
cgo_01d0 Cape Grim, Tasmania, Australia40 41'S, 144 41'E, 94.0m ESRL 286 0 1.50 0.10
chr_01d0 Christmas Island, Republic of Kiribati1 42'N, 157 10'W, 3.0m ESRL 265 0 0.75 1.72
crz_01d0 Crozet Island, France46 27'S, 51 51'E, 120.0m ESRL 229 0 0.75 0.36
eic_01d0 Easter Island, Chile27 9'S, 109 27'W, 50.0m ESRL 163 0 7.50 0.03
gmi_01d0 Mariana Islands, Guam13 26'N, 144 47'E, 1.0m ESRL 533 0 1.50 0.40
hba_01d0 Halley Station, Antarctica, United Kingdom75 35'S, 26 30'W, 30.0m ESRL 327 0 0.75 0.31
hun_01d0 Hegyhatsal, Hungary46 57'N, 16 39'E, 248.0m ESRL 322 1 7.50 0.45
ice_01d0 Storhofdi, Vestmannaeyjar, Iceland63 20'N, 20 17'W, 118.0m ESRL 308 1 1.50 0.51
izo_01d0 Tenerife, Canary Islands, Spain28 18'N, 16 29'W, 2360.0m ESRL 247 2 1.50 1.07
key_01d0 Key Biscayne, Florida, United States25 40'N, 80 12'W, 3.0m ESRL 227 0 2.50 0.34
kum_01d0 Cape Kumukahi, Hawaii, United States19 31'N, 154 49'W, 3.0m ESRL 314 0 1.50 0.41
kzd_01d0 Sary Taukum, Kazakhstan44 27'N, 75 34'E, 412.0m ESRL 322 1 2.50 0.98
kzm_01d0 Plateau Assy, Kazakhstan43 15'N, 77 53'E, 2519.0m ESRL 283 1 2.50 1.22
mhd_01d0 Mace Head, County Galway, Ireland53 20'N, 9 54'W, 25.0m ESRL 265 0 2.50 0.22
mid_01d0 Sand Island, Midway, United States28 13'N, 177 23'W, 3.7m ESRL 311 0 1.50 0.65
mkn_01d0 Mt. Kenya, Kenya0 3'S, 37 18'E, 3897.0m ESRL 75 0 2.50 1.04
mlo_01d0 Mauna Loa, Hawaii, United States19 32'N, 155 35'W, 3397.0m ESRL 363 0 1.50 0.24
nmb_01d0 Gobabeb, Namibia23 35'S, 15 2'E, 456.0m ESRL 20 0 2.50 0.15
nwr_01d0 Niwot Ridge, Colorado, United States40 3'N, 105 35'W, 3523.0m ESRL 310 1 1.50 0.82
obn_01d0 Obninsk, Russia55 7'N, 36 36'E, 183.0m ESRL 88 0 7.50 0.38
oxk_01d0 Ochsenkopf, Germany50 4'N, 11 48'E, 1193.0m ESRL 42 4 2.50 1.29
pal_01d0 Pallas-Sammaltunturi, GAW Station, Finland67 58'N, 24 7'E, 560.0m ESRL 187 2 2.50 0.79
poc_01d1 Pacific Ocean, N/A99 59'S, 999 59'W, 10.0m ESRL1415 0 7.50 0.03
psa_01d0 Palmer Station, Antarctica, United States64 55'S, 64 0'W, 10.0m ESRL 328 0 0.75 0.53
pta_01d0 Point Arena, California, United States38 57'N, 123 44'W, 17.0m ESRL 212 0 7.50 0.37
rpb_01d0 Ragged Point, Barbados13 10'N, 59 26'W, 45.0m ESRL 317 0 1.50 0.83
sey_01d0 Mahe Island, Seychelles4 40'S, 55 10'E, 3.0m ESRL 304 0 0.75 1.08
sgp_01d0 Southern Great Plains, Oklahoma, United States36 48'N, 97 30'W, 314.0m ESRL 530 9 2.50 0.84
shm_01d0 Shemya Island, Alaska, United States52 43'N, 174 6'E, 40.0m ESRL 253 2 2.50 0.78
smo_01d0 Tutuila, American Samoa14 14'S, 170 34'W, 42.0m ESRL 369 0 1.50 0.17
spo_01d0 South Pole, Antarctica, United States89 59'S, 24 48'W, 2810.0m ESRL 344 0 1.50 0.05
stm_01d0 Ocean Station M, Norway66 0'N, 2 0'E, 0.0m ESRL 597 1 1.50 0.76
sum_01d0 Summit, Greenland72 35'N, 38 29'W, 3238.0m ESRL 231 0 1.50 0.47
syo_01d0 Syowa Station, Antarctica, Japan69 0'S, 39 35'E, 11.0m ESRL 163 0 0.75 0.55
tap_01d0 Tae-ahn Peninsula, Republic of Korea36 44'N, 126 8'E, 20.0m ESRL 233 1 7.50 0.55
tdf_01d0 Tierra Del Fuego, Ushuaia, Argentina54 52'S, 68 29'W, 20.0m ESRL 90 0 0.75 0.44
thd_01d0 Trinidad Head, California, United States41 3'N, 124 9'W, 107.0m ESRL 184 19 2.50 1.55
uta_01d0 Wendover, Utah, United States39 54'N, 113 43'W, 1320.0m ESRL 293 1 2.50 0.31
uum_01d0 Ulaan Uul, Mongolia44 27'N, 111 6'E, 914.0m ESRL 320 0 2.50 0.73
wis_01d0 Sede Boker, Negev Desert, Israel31 8'N, 34 53'E, 400.0m ESRL 342 1 2.50 0.73
wlg_01d0 Mt. Waliguan, Peoples Republic of China36 17'N, 100 54'E, 3810.0m ESRL 215 5 1.50 1.10
zep_01d0 Ny-Alesund, Svalbard, Norway and Sweden78 54'N, 11 53'E, 475.0m ESRL 399 2 1.50 0.79
all Total 36223 148 0.0087.57

3.   Further Reading